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The Boulder Colorado World Affairs Discussion Group

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Predictions for the Year 2011 -- Made on January 4, 2011

PredictionResultPrognosticator Dissenting
Obama will become more comfortable and will listen more. NO Marion Gately 60%
Global equities will rise by 9% NO John Forbes 80 %
There will be a dramatic confrontation with Mexico NO Paul Weisskopf 80 %
Palestinian treaty by October 1st, 2011 NO Attillio Catanzo 80 %
Major regime change in Pakistan NO Andy Lattanzi 60 %
US will have more rather than fewer troops stationed overseas (1,430,895 in Sept 2010) NO Nicole de Lorimier 70 %
No bombing of nuclear facilities in Iran by anyone The WINNER YES Phillip Rogers 50 %
Republicans will cut Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid and increase debt ceiling NO Larry Sutton 80 %
Unemployment rate will be greater than 9.8% by year end NO Paul Browne 30 %
Graphic Processing Units will be important in large scale systems NO Jack Hering 50 %
Congress will approve gay marriage NO Larry Winston 80 %
Major lawsuit against drug companies?? NO John Cowley 90 %
You can visit a movie theater and see a major sport game in 3D NO Bob Gallawa 40 %
Congress will approve modified Dream Act NO Paul Silvers 30 %
The War in Afghanistan will be shown to be unwinnable. NO ?? Rosemary Cooke 20 %
GDP Growth will be between 3 and 4 percent (1-2%) NO Ben Harrison 30 %
The Eurozone will wither and have major changes NO Yeida Chang 50 %
Wikilease exposures will show that Reagan's "October Surprise" was a fact NO George Langer 80 %
The percentage of middle income distribution will decrease YES Tony Wells 10 %
A Major tax reform will be passed by congress NO Bernard Mendonca 80 %
Driving and Texting will be illegal in most states NO Sylvia Hultkrans 10 %
Chinas use of Green energy production will exceed by 10 times that of the US NO Brian Ridley 70 %
US Mail will stop being delivered on Saturday NO Tom Patton 10 %
S&P high of 1375 but end at 1250 NO Rusty Cannon 90 %
Gas Prices will hit $4 nationally at some point in 2011 (high $3.97) NO Ed Fuchs 70 %
Congress will increase gas tax by at least 14 cents NO Robert Bushnell 90 %
20% of electricity will come from "green" sources NO Martha Bushnell 90 %
Continue job loss by outsourcing increase by 15% NO John Rushton 10 %
Crude oil prices will hit $140 per barrel by October 1st (high 114) NO Dan Endres 80 %
State and local finances will continue to be critical issue YES Bruce Rothenberg 10 %
Death of Saudi Arabian king will lead to chaos NO Art Smoot 70 %

Predictions from 2017, 2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011, 2010, 2009, 2008, 2007, and 2006

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